The failure of peace talks and the end of South Sudan’s wet season
could unleash fresh fighting between government forces and rebel
factions, propelling millions of people in the world’s youngest nation
back towards a man-made famine, analysts and humanitarian workers warn.
Nine months of bad-tempered negotiations have yet to produce a firm
ceasefire, let alone a political deal to end a conflict punctuated by
atrocities. Skirmishes have continued in areas close to where thousands
of civilians are crammed into UN bases. There are fears that both sides
have used the seasonal lull to re-arm.
Surging violence would roil plans by the UN and humanitarian partners to
use the dry season to patch up roads and other infrastructure and
pre-position critical supplies before the meagre returns from the
current disrupted harvest run out in early 2015. The rains usually begin
to ease by late October.
“It is going to be a combination of a quieter environment for the people
of this country, plus the continuation of a large aid operation, that
will help people get through the dry season,” Toby Lanzer, the UN
humanitarian coordinator in South Sudan, told IRIN. “If either of those
two are absent, disaster will occur.”
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