Thursday, September 13, 2018

Africa's Urbanisation

Sub-Saharan Africa is urbanizing at the fastest rate in the world. Africa is now 40 percent urban with a per capita GDP of $1,100. By the time Asia reached that level of urbanization, its per capita GDP was $3,500. 

The Financial Times recently focused on Bamako, Mali, as an example of the continent-wide phenomenon. Bamako’s population today, at 3.5 million, is 10 times larger than it was at independence in 1960. A professor at the University of Bamako comments that the city’s growth is a “catastrophe foretold,” that “Bamako is a time-bomb.” Among other shortcomings, the professor notes that the city lacks a land registry even as real estate booms. The exploding population growth translates into high land prices that encourage corruption. 

In Africa, the explosion of the urban population is obvious. So, too, are the slums, the lack of schools, water shortages, and unpaved roads. Unemployed male youth are ubiquitous and do, indeed, constitute a potential time bomb with respect to political instability. Experience shows that urbanization cannot be reversed, as few residents are willing to return to the countryside unless compelled to do so, as occurred in Chairman Mao’s China or Pol Pot’s Cambodia. 

African urbanization will continue and public authorities having few tools with which to manage it. 

https://www.cfr.org/blog/africa-fastest-urbanizing-place-planet

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