Johannesburg — African leaders, foreign investors and formal
indicators of economic growth may say that "Africa is rising" - but most
ordinary Africans don't agree.
A pioneering new survey of public opinion in 34 countries across the
continent suggests that the relatively high average growth in gross
domestic product (GDP) reported in recent years is not reflected in the
experiences of most citizens. An average of one in five Africans still often goes without food,
clean water or medical care. Only one in three think economic conditions
in their country are good. Fifty-three percent say they are "fairly
bad" or "very bad".
The survey suggests that either the benefits of growth are being
disproportionately channelled to a wealthy elite or that official
statistics are overstating average growth rates (or possibly a
combination of both).
The survey was directed by Afrobarometer, a research project
coordinated by independent institutions in Ghana, Benin, Kenya and South
Africa, with partners in 31 other countries. Afrobarometer says the
margin of error in its face-to-face public opinion surveys is around two
percent. It has been surveying public opinion in 12 countries since
1999, but has grown to include 35 countries for the period 2011 to 2013.
The results of the latest survey - released in Johannesburg on
Tuesday - are the first to reflect public opinion across such a wide
swathe of the continent. Interviews for the survey were carried out
between October 2011 and June this year.
Speaking at the release of the results, Boniface Dulani of the
University of Malawi, the project's operational field manager, said they
indicated that three-quarters of Africans thought their governments
were doing badly in closing the gap between rich and poor. Nevertheless,
most remained optimistic about the future - with west and north
Africans more optimistic than east Africans, and southern Africans
"somewhere in the middle".
In the 16 countries surveyed over a period of a decade, there was little
evidence for systematic reduction of the poverty experienced by
ordinary citizens, despite average GDP growth rates of 4.8 percent, the
brief added.
Countries included in the 2013 results are: Algeria, Benin,
Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Cote d'Ivoire,
Egypt, Ghana, Guinea, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali,
Mauritius, Morocco, Mozambique, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal,
Sierra Leone, South Africa, Sudan, Swaziland, Tanzania, Togo, Tunisia,
Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Results from Ethiopia, the 35th country to
be surveyed, are still being compiled.
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