Five years after Côte d’Ivoire’s disputed presidential election threw
the country into turmoil and left more than 3,000 dead, its people are
set to go to the polls again. Could we see similar unrest this October
or will the West African nation turn the page and move forward?
Former president Laurent Gbagbo, who refused to quit when declared
the loser of the 2010 election to Alassane Ouattara, is now in The Hague
charged by the International Criminal Court (ICC) with crimes against
humanity.
Côte d’Ivoire’s economy is booming and Ouattara has gained
popularity. Gbagbo – seen as the only viable challenger – is unable to
run.
There is every chance the vote will pass off peacefully, but this doesn’t mean all has been forgiven between the two camps.
The Dialogue, Truth and Reconciliation Commission, which was supposed
to forge unity and resolve long-standing political and ethnic
divisions, is one of the country’s most unpopular institutions and Ouattara is accused by some of presiding over “victor’s justice.”
With less than three months to go until the election, human rights
experts and political analysts identify three key areas of concern:
Political prisoners
The detention of as many as 700 political prisoners remains a deeply
divisive issue. Supporters of Gbagbo demand their release, but his
opponents say justice must be served.
“The current government is not willing to create the conditions for a
peaceful society,” Dahi Nestor, president of the pro-Gbagbo
opposition’s National Youth Coalition for Change, told IRIN. “It
continues to keep innocent people in prison. This is an attack on
democracy. A normal country cannot go to elections with hundreds of
political prisoners in its jails.”
Ouattara and his government maintain that those imprisoned were not
arrested because of their political affiliation but because they broke
the law. “We want reconciliation,” the president said, “but we do not
want a lawless country.”
Selective justice?
The sentencing in March of former first lady Simone Gbagbo and two
co-accused to 20 years in prison for “undermining state security” - and
of some 65 others supporters of her husband to shorter terms -was
confirmation to opponents of Ouattara of a lop-sided justice process.
Both sides were accused of civilian massacres in 2010-2011 and yet
only those allied to the former president have been convicted of any
crimes.
“Unfortunately, we will not have this equal justice before the next
election, because the more we advance towards this deadline, the more
that resources and attention are diverted to the polls,” Barthélémy
Touré, a political analyst in Abidjan, told IRIN.
Too scared to return
Côte d’Ivoire’s constitution says no citizen can be forced into
exile, but nearly 50,000 Ivoirians, including political and military
exiles who fled to Liberia, Ghana, Togo and other countries during the
2010-2011 crisis, still cannot - or will not - return home, according to
the UN’s refugee agency, UNHCR.
Despite pleas from Ouattara for them to come back, many say they fear ending up in jail or being persecuted if they do.
Franck Kouakou Tanoh, a member of the Young Patriots – a pro-Gbagbo
youth movement – has been exiled in Ghana since April 2011. “It is not
the urge to return that we lack,” he told IRIN by phone, adding that he
just don’t believe assurances that they will be treated fairly.
The opposition is also demanding the return of its leaders, including
Gbagbo and former head of the Young Patriots Charles Blé Goudé, who is
also awaiting trial by the ICC. The opposition says it plans to boycott
the October elections if its demands aren’t met.
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