According to a recent report by Credit Suisse that considers
broad measures of wealth, rather than just income alone, only 3.3% of Africans
should be considered middle class, or about 19 million people. That’s a far cry
from previous estimates from the African Development Bank, based on income that
put the figure closer to 300 million in 2011. Pew Research Center also found
that the global middle class is likely smaller and poorer than previously
believed, with many families on the cusp of slipping back into poverty. Pew
estimates that just 6% of Africans earn between $10-$20 a day, thus qualifying
as middle class.
Credit Suisse’s researchers set the equivalent of $50,000 in
the US as the threshold for a person’s wealth to classify them as middle class.
That translates to about $22,000 in South Africa, where almost a quarter of the
continent’s middle class live. Nigeria, the continent’s largest economy, is
home to 922,000 middle-class adults.
It is not puzzling why Africa’s middle class remains small
when wealth on the continent has grown quickly, more than doubling over the
past 15 years to some $1.63 trillion. The reason is that Africa’s growth has
not been distributed evenly—the continent’s richest, 0.2% of the population,
control over 30% of the region’s wealth.
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