Barely days after being listed by the World Bank as one of five
countries with the highest number of extremely poor people, Nigeria has
declared a Gross Domestic Product, GDP, of N80.3 trillion ($509.9bn),
pushing ahead of South Africa as the continent's biggest economy.
The new figure was announced Sunday by the National Bureau of
Statistics after a rebasing that nearly doubled Nigeria's GDP from N42.3
trillion.
The new GDP compares with South Africa's GDP of N60.7 trillion ($370.3bn) at the end of 2013.
The GDP index is the total value of a country's goods and services over a period of time.
Rebasing is carried out to give the most up-to-date picture of an
economy as possible. Many countries rebase their GDPs after every few
year but Nigeria's was last computed in 1990 when there was limited
growth in most economic sectors.
The new calculation, released by the statistics bureau, now includes
previously uncounted industries like telecoms, information technology,
music, online sales, airlines, and film production.
The new figure shrank Nigeria's debt-to-GDP ratio to 11 percent for
2013, against 19 percent in 2012, the Statistician-General, Yemi Kale,
said on Sunday.
But many Nigerians and economists believe such numbers do not bring
any change to a country with about 70 percent of its population in
extreme poverty.
Last week, the World Bank listed Nigeria alongside four others as
countries with the world's extreme poverty- a rating the Nigerian
government rejected.
On a per-capita basis, South Africa's GDP numbers are three times
larger than Nigeria's. Analysts say Nigeria's output is underperforming
with its population three times South Africa's.
Analysts say the rebasing is to enable the government come up with
figures to support claims of the superlative performance of the
country's economy, said to be growing at about 6.5 to 7 per cent
annually.
But, the pronouncement by the World Bank President appears to have
removed the sail from government's wind, as it highlighted the
disconnect between government's statistics and economic reality.
The World Bank President, Jim Yong Kim, who was addressing
participants at the Council on Foreign Relations, CFR, meeting in New
York, named India, China, Bangladesh, and the Democratic Republic of
Congo as the other countries in the new global poverty categorization.
"The fact is that two-thirds of the world's extreme poor are
concentrated in just five countries - India, China, Nigeria, Bangladesh,
and the Democratic Republic of Congo," he said.
"If you add another five countries -- Indonesia, Pakistan, Tanzania,
Ethiopia, and Kenya - the total grows to 80 percent of the extreme
poor."
Mr. Kim, who defined extreme poverty as "people living on less than
$1.25 a day", said "more than a billion people in the world live on less
than that each day."
from here
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