Transport is a perpetual problem in Africa. Intra-regional
trade accounts for just 13 per cent of total commerce, compared with 53 per
cent in emerging Asia, according to The Economist.
Landlocked countries suffer the most. Transport costs can
make up 50 to 75 per cent of the retail price of goods in Malawi, Rwanda and
Uganda. Shipping a car from China to Tanzania on the Indian Ocean coast costs
US$4,000, but getting it from there to nearby Uganda can cost another $5,000.
“Many good mineral deposits are in remote locations and
getting them to market requires rail and port infrastructure – this can cost up
to $3.5 billion alone to build, just for one operation,” says Haaris Zafar, the
principal mining adviser for Africa at Johannesburg’s Nedbank. “I can’t see
this happening in the current commodity climate.”
One example is a giant iron ore mine planned by the
Australian company Sundance Resources. The project straddles the border of
Cameroon and the Republic of Congo in Central Africa in a remote, inland jungle
area. The mine would be an enormous lift to the economies of both countries –
if it is ever built. Two years ago, Sundance announced a partnership with China
Gezhouba Group to finance and construct a 510-kilometre railway and a dedicated
mineral export terminal. The project had the backing of the Chinese premier, Xi
Jinping, following a state visit to Ghana last year. But this January, Gezhouba
said it would put the project on hold indefinitely after the collapse in the
iron ore price. The project had seemed a good prospect when iron ore reached
the giddy heights of nearly $188 a tonne in 2011, and the almost $4bn price tag
for transport infrastructure seemed justified. Today, iron ore struggles along
at $40 a tonne and the port and railway line are unlikely to be laid down
anytime soon. As China slows, project finance will be harder to come by.
“The emergence of an Africa-wide railway network is a dream
that will be difficult to fulfil,” John Welborn, the chief executive of
Resolute Mining. Welborn has been active in rail developments in west Africa, a
region that could potentially rival Australia’s iron-rich Pilbara area in
potential for iron ore. He said that the cost of developing rail and port
facilities from scratch, however, made it unlikely this would happen soon.
Even if funds were to be found, laying down railway lines
that cross multiple borders is a formidable undertaking. At the same time,
mining companies are reluctant to share lines with other users, fearing it
could harm ore shipping schedules. In Australia, where iron miners are king,
rival producers have built their own tracks running parallel to each other to
carry ore from up to 1,300 kilometres inland to coastal ports. “Two companies
in the Pilbara have two railways running side by side, and third wanting to get
in had to build its own,” Mr Welborn says.
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